Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.530153 1.744939 1.978642 2.251772 2.562204 2.904058 3.309104
2025-10-26 1.182094 1.470879 1.812756 2.247183 2.784522 3.427472 4.255598
2025-11-02 0.991783 1.311016 1.711674 2.251158 2.958605 3.854994 5.077965
2025-11-09 0.838728 1.165312 1.595376 2.202709 3.038296 4.147979 5.735136
2025-11-16 0.742415 1.077103 1.536612 2.212914 3.182928 4.524620 6.523656
2025-11-23 0.672054 1.013590 1.500360 2.243811 3.350596 4.938175 7.391565
2025-11-30 0.602230 0.941185 1.441116 2.231024 3.447765 5.252126 8.135261
2025-12-07 0.535947 0.865782 1.368005 2.186957 3.489021 5.480466 8.762705
2025-12-14 0.475400 0.792223 1.289273 2.124139 3.491517 5.644265 9.296910
2025-12-21 0.431439 0.740341 1.238809 2.099725 3.549736 5.895570 9.986023
2025-12-28 0.411742 0.726322 1.247598 2.171852 3.770033 6.422620 11.168270
2026-01-04 0.376053 0.681250 1.200064 2.143499 3.816666 6.662925 11.882359
2026-01-11 0.354354 0.661932 1.200410 2.208531 4.049279 7.270569 13.347891
2026-01-18 0.322690 0.621915 1.161708 2.202691 4.160631 7.687096 14.535011
2026-01-25 0.296429 0.588578 1.130874 2.206639 4.287917 8.140645 15.830399
2026-02-01 0.266772 0.545151 1.076327 2.159137 4.311837 8.403377 16.788699
2026-02-08 0.247392 0.519664 1.053071 2.169143 4.446457 8.885415 18.215587
2026-02-15 0.232240 0.500952 1.040921 2.199434 4.623265 9.463799 19.888243
2026-02-22 0.214235 0.474202 1.009666 2.186897 4.710562 9.870643 21.248638
2026-03-01 0.195209 0.443102 0.966133 2.143694 4.728578 10.136403 22.337589
2026-03-08 0.176567 0.410746 0.916575 2.082107 4.700320 10.301529 23.224673
2026-03-15 0.162909 0.388092 0.885663 2.058172 4.751515 10.639166 24.519862
2026-03-22 0.157729 0.384418 0.896341 2.128886 5.021336 11.476263 27.012412